I have not been able to blog for a few days. We
seem to be having Internet connection problems. Why? Well, who knows? We deal
with Comcast and they are not big on providing answers. They are also not big
on fixing things.
But this just serves to re-inforce something I
have thought a lot about. We have become almost totally dependent on that
cobbled together system we call the Internet and when, not if, there is a
breakdown that knocks it out of commision, even for a day or two, there will be
chaos.
A failure of the internet is inevitable. Chaos
theory states that the more complex a system is, the more likely it is to
malfunction. It is true that the system has built in redundancy so that if one
link goes bad, another will take up the slack, but suppose it does not.
Remember, anything we build has a chance of not working and we really cannot do
a lot of test runs on the system without shutting part of it down deliberately,
and that is not done. We are banking almost everything on assumptions.
Then, there is the issue of cyber attacks, It is
possible for skilled hackers to bring down servers. A coordinated attack could
bring down several. There have already been instances where individual servers
have simply been bombarded by traffic and stopped functioning. A massive
operation could temporarily shut down the Internet and even if only temporary,
it would cause upheaval. Anything depending on precise timeing would be thrown
off and businesses would suffer. Also, faith in the Internet would waver and a
frantic search for alternatives would ensue and no one is ready for that.
We are also faced with the possibility of
physical damage to the web. Recently, the US became fairly frantic when they
discovered Russian submarines lurking near a spot where many cables were laid.
Nothing happened, but the threat lingers.
Another potential source of problems is Mother
Nature, herself. We are subject to such unpleasantries as Solar flares, which,
if they occur when our magnetic field is in one of its weak phases, have the
potential of wiping out most everything electronic.
Finally, we cannot overlook the chance of
terrorist attack. Of course, they have little chance of bombing major computer
hubs but, if any one of them ever gets their hand on atomics, a simple blast,
set off in the air, will have the same effect as a Solar flare, due to the
creation of an electromagnetic pulse. Now that I think of it, the North
Koreans, hardly a bastion of stability, are getting very close to that
capability.
The solution? There really is none, short of
weaning yourself off its use. The problem is that businesses are going to be
loathe to do that. so we humans will almost certainly become more and more
dependent on the internet. It is a handy tool for business, but, putting all
your eggs in such a fragile basket is a really bad idea, one that will bite us
in the rear one day. When that day comes, just stay calm and trust that you
will find a way to muddle through what will likely be a nightmare.
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